Files
endorphin-tabularium-docs/apps/docs/tests/research.test.ts

345 lines
21 KiB
TypeScript

import test from "node:test";
import assert from "node:assert/strict";
import { mkdtempSync, rmSync } from "node:fs";
import { join } from "node:path";
import { tmpdir } from "node:os";
import seed from "../../../content/research/ai-companies.seed.json";
import coverageAudit from "../../../content/research/ai-companies.coverage.json";
import incomeReference from "../../../content/research/ai-income-analysis.json";
import { readResearchSnapshot } from "../src/lib/ai-research-store";
import { openSiteDatabase } from "../src/lib/site-database";
import { categorySummary, evidenceUrl, reviewCompanyIds, validateResearch, type ResearchSnapshot } from "../src/lib/ai-research";
import { consumeCode, initializeStore } from "../src/lib/auth-store";
import { newAuthConfig } from "../src/lib/auth";
import { describeIncome, groupIncome, platformIncomeSample } from "../src/lib/research-statistics";
test("research revisions share the authentication database and preserve replay limits", () => {
const dir = mkdtempSync(join(tmpdir(), "site-research-"));
const previous = process.env.AUTH_CONFIG_FILE;
process.env.AUTH_CONFIG_FILE = join(dir, "config.json");
try {
initializeStore();
const config = newAuthConfig();
for (let i = 0; i < 20; i++) consumeCode(config, "invalid");
assert.equal(consumeCode(config, "invalid"), "limited");
const initial = readResearchSnapshot();
assert.equal(initial.companies.length, 1021);
assert.equal(initial.evidence.length, 1201);
assert.equal(initial.observations.length, 187);
assert.deepEqual(initial.candidateBatches, seed.candidateBatches, "candidate gaps persist in the same database metadata");
assert.deepEqual(initial.directoryRechecks, seed.directoryRechecks, "follow-up classifications persist without rewriting the discovery audit");
assert.deepEqual(readResearchSnapshot(), initial, "reopening does not duplicate records");
const db = openSiteDatabase();
const tables = db.prepare("SELECT name FROM sqlite_master WHERE type='table'").all() as { name: string }[];
assert.ok(tables.some((r) => r.name === "login_state"));
assert.ok(tables.some((r) => r.name === "research_companies"));
assert.equal(db.prepare("PRAGMA foreign_keys").get()?.foreign_keys, 1);
db.close();
const next = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
next.version += "-revision-test";
next.companies[0].name = "Revised company";
assert.equal(readResearchSnapshot(next).companies[0].name, "Revised company");
assert.deepEqual(readResearchSnapshot(), initial, "old release still reads its original revision");
assert.equal(consumeCode(config, "invalid"), "limited", "research import must not reset auth limits");
const collision = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
collision.companies[0].name = "Changed without revision";
assert.throws(() => readResearchSnapshot(collision), /new revision/);
assert.deepEqual(readResearchSnapshot(), initial, "failed import leaves valid revision intact");
} finally {
if (previous === undefined) delete process.env.AUTH_CONFIG_FILE;
else process.env.AUTH_CONFIG_FILE = previous;
rmSync(dir, { recursive: true, force: true });
}
});
test("research validation rejects broken evidence and unsafe source links", () => {
validateResearch(seed as ResearchSnapshot);
const invalid = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
invalid.observations[0].evidence = "missing";
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(invalid), /observation/);
assert.equal(evidenceUrl("javascript:alert(1)"), undefined);
assert.equal(evidenceUrl("/local-link"), undefined);
assert.equal(evidenceUrl("https://example.com/evidence"), "https://example.com/evidence");
});
test("reviews link explicit companies without turning global or excluded cases into companies", () => {
const snapshot = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
assert.equal(snapshot.reviews.filter((r) => r.scope === "companies").length, 52);
assert.equal(snapshot.reviews.filter((r) => r.scope === "dataset").length, 4);
assert.equal(snapshot.reviews.filter((r) => r.scope === "excluded-candidate").length, 12);
const review = snapshot.reviews.find((r) => r.id === "R4")!;
assert.deepEqual(reviewCompanyIds(snapshot, review), ["AI007", "AI013", "AI021", "AI034"]);
assert.deepEqual(reviewCompanyIds(snapshot, snapshot.reviews.find((r) => r.id === "CN-R-PSI")!), []);
const oldReview = structuredClone(snapshot.reviews.find((r) => r.id === "TECH-GRAD-R-SCOPE")!);
delete oldReview.scope;
delete oldReview.companyIds;
assert.deepEqual(reviewCompanyIds(snapshot, oldReview), ["AI051"], "old revisions retain evidence-owner fallback");
review.companyIds = ["unknown-company"];
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /research review/);
review.companyIds = ["AI007", "AI007"];
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /research review/);
review.companyIds = [];
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /research review/);
});
test("disclosure counts exclude client income, biographies, targets and duplicate milestones", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
const summary = categorySummary(snapshot);
assert.equal(summary.reduce((n, c) => n + c.count, 0), 1021);
assert.equal(summary.reduce((n, c) => n + c.self, 0), 26);
assert.equal(summary.reduce((n, c) => n + c.estimate, 0), 1);
assert.equal(summary.reduce((n, c) => n + c.platform, 0), 16);
assert.equal(summary.reduce((n, c) => n + c.unknown, 0), 978);
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.name === "Rork")?.revenueStatus, "unknown");
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.name === "Result")?.revenueStatus, "unknown");
assert.ok(snapshot.observations.filter((o) => o.selection === "signal").every((o) => o.scope === "公司整体"));
});
test("technical reviews keep accessible materials separate from tested capabilities", () => {
const snapshot = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.filter((c) => c.technicalReview).length, 13);
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.filter((c) => c.technicalReview?.level === "public-artifact").length, 6);
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.filter((c) => c.technicalReview?.level === "independent-test").length, 1);
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "AI051")?.revenueStatus, "unknown");
assert.match(snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "AI051")!.technicalReview!.testScope!, /Sep 2026/);
assert.ok(snapshot.observations.filter((o) => o.id.startsWith("TECH-GRAD-O-")).every((o) => o.selection === "technical" && o.comparisonGroup === null));
const company = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "AI061")!;
const review = company.technicalReview!;
review.evidenceIds = ["missing-technical-evidence"];
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /technical review/);
review.evidenceIds = ["TECH-NAIVE-HF"];
review.reviewedAt = "2026-02-30";
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /technical review/);
review.reviewedAt = "2099-01-01";
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /technical review/);
review.reviewedAt = snapshot.asOf;
review.level = "independent-test";
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /technical review/,
"an accessible artifact cannot become a test record without a stated test scope");
});
test("ambiguous ARR claims retain currency, precision and attribution limits", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
const variant = snapshot.observations.filter((o) => o.company === "AI066");
assert.deepEqual(variant.filter((o) => o.selection === "crosscheck").map((o) => o.value).sort(), [500000, 600000]);
assert.equal(variant.filter((o) => o.selection === "signal").length, 0);
assert.ok(variant.filter((o) => [2500000, 40000000].includes(o.value)).every((o) => o.selection === "excluded"));
const codos = snapshot.observations.find((o) => o.id === "SR-O-AI065-arr")!;
assert.equal(codos.bound, "≥");
assert.equal(codos.unit, "币种未注明");
assert.equal(codos.comparisonGroup, null);
assert.ok(snapshot.observations.filter((o) => o.id.startsWith("SR-O-")).every((o) => o.comparisonGroup === null && o.unit !== "USD"));
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "AI071")?.year, 2021);
const rocket = snapshot.observations.find((o) => o.id === "ROCKET-O-arr")!;
assert.equal(rocket.selection, "historical");
assert.equal(rocket.comparisonGroup, null);
assert.notEqual(rocket.scope, "公司整体");
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "AI070")?.revenueStatus, "unknown");
assert.equal(snapshot.observations.filter((o) => o.company === "AI070").length, 0,
"unreadable announcement summaries do not become numeric ARR");
});
// Retractions and forecasts must stay visible for review without becoming revenue signals.
test("retracted ARR and projected margins remain excluded", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
const cluely = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.name === "Cluely")!;
assert.equal(cluely.revenueStatus, "unknown");
assert.ok(snapshot.reviews.some((r) => r.company === "Cluely" && r.evidenceIds.includes("E100")));
const retracted = snapshot.observations.filter((o) => o.company === cluely.id);
assert.ok(retracted.length > 0);
assert.ok(retracted.every((o) => o.selection === "excluded"));
const forecast = snapshot.observations.find((o) => o.kind === "非GAAP毛利率预期")!;
assert.equal(forecast.selection, "excluded");
const peec = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.name === "Peec AI")!;
assert.equal(peec.teamBound, ">");
assert.equal(snapshot.observations.filter((o) => o.company === peec.id && o.selection === "signal").length, 1);
assert.ok(snapshot.observations.some((o) => o.company === peec.id && o.selection === "historical-estimate"));
});
test("directory coverage reconciles every candidate and keeps profile-only income unknown", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
const coverage = snapshot.coverage!;
assert.equal(coverageAudit.records.length, coverage.candidateRecords);
assert.equal(new Set(coverageAudit.records.map((r) => r.ycId)).size, coverage.candidateRecords);
const count = (status: string) => coverageAudit.records.filter((r) => r.status === status).length;
assert.equal(count("imported"), coverage.newProfiles);
assert.equal(count("existing"), coverage.existingProfiles);
assert.equal(count("date-conflict"), coverage.dateConflicts);
assert.equal(count("year-outside-or-missing"), coverage.otherOrMissingYear);
assert.equal(count("ai-unclear"), coverage.unclearAI);
for (const row of coverageAudit.records.filter((r) => r.status === "imported")) {
const company = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === `YC${row.ycId}`)!;
assert.ok(company.profileOnly || company.directoryOrigin === "yc-2025-2026");
assert.equal(company.url, row.source);
if (company.profileOnly) assert.equal(company.revenueStatus, "unknown");
assert.equal(company.year, row.foundedYear);
assert.ok([2025, 2026].includes(company.year!));
}
const invalid = structuredClone(snapshot);
invalid.coverage!.newProfiles += 1;
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(invalid), /coverage accounting/);
const promoted = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "YC30215")!;
assert.equal(promoted.profileOnly, false);
assert.equal(promoted.directoryOrigin, "yc-2025-2026");
assert.equal(promoted.revenueStatus, "self");
const lostOrigin = structuredClone(snapshot);
delete lostOrigin.companies.find((c) => c.id === promoted.id)!.directoryOrigin;
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(lostOrigin), /coverage accounting/);
});
test("income descriptions report sample dispersion and maximum-value sensitivity", () => {
const stats = describeIncome([100, 200, 300])!;
assert.equal(stats.mean, 200);
assert.equal(stats.median, 200);
assert.equal(stats.sampleDeviation, 100);
assert.equal(stats.cv, .5);
assert.equal(stats.largestShare, .5);
assert.equal(stats.meanWithoutLargest, 150);
assert.equal(stats.largestRemovalDrop, .25);
assert.equal(describeIncome([5])!.cv, null);
assert.equal(describeIncome([0, 0])!.mean, 0, "observed zero is distinct from missing");
assert.equal(describeIncome([0, 0])!.cv, null);
assert.equal(describeIncome([]), null);
assert.equal(describeIncome([100, NaN]), null);
assert.equal(describeIncome([-1]), null);
assert.ok(describeIncome([1, 2, 100])!.largestRemovalDrop! > .95);
});
test("platform samples exclude stale data and keep ARR, estimates and collections separate", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
const recent = platformIncomeSample(snapshot, { windowDays: 7 });
assert.equal(recent.points.length, 14);
assert.equal(recent.excluded.length, 3);
assert.ok(recent.points.every((p) => p.observation.metric === "mrr" && p.observation.selection === "platform"));
assert.deepEqual(new Set(recent.excluded.map((p) => p.observation.company)), new Set(["AI016", "MR013", "MR014"]));
assert.ok(recent.points.some((p) => p.company.name === "TrackAI" && p.observation.connectionExpired), "dated recent value is not a claim of active connection");
const older = platformIncomeSample(snapshot, { windowDays: 90 });
assert.equal(older.points.length, 15);
assert.ok(older.points.some((p) => p.company.id === "AI016"));
const scaled = platformIncomeSample(snapshot, { windowDays: 7, annualize: true });
const monthlyGroups = groupIncome(recent.points);
const annualGroups = groupIncome(scaled.points);
for (const group of monthlyGroups) {
const annual = annualGroups.find((g) => g.key === group.key)!;
assert.ok(Math.abs(annual.stats.mean - group.stats.mean * 12) < 1e-6);
if (group.stats.cv !== null) assert.ok(Math.abs(annual.stats.cv! - group.stats.cv) < 1e-10);
}
const invalid = structuredClone(snapshot);
invalid.observations = invalid.observations.filter((o) => o.company === "MR001" && o.metric === "mrr");
const first = invalid.observations[0];
invalid.observations.push({ ...first, id: "future", observedAt: "2026-11-01", value: 999999 });
invalid.observations.push({ ...first, id: "bad-date", observedAt: "2026-02-30", value: 999999 });
invalid.observations.push({ ...first, id: "currency", unit: "EUR", value: 999999 });
invalid.observations.push({ ...first, id: "older", observedAt: "2026-10-28", value: 1 });
const selected = platformIncomeSample(invalid, { windowDays: 7 });
assert.equal(selected.points.length, 1);
assert.equal(selected.points[0].observation.id, first.id, "bad newer data and older duplicate must not replace latest valid point");
assert.equal(selected.excluded.length, 4);
assert.throws(() => platformIncomeSample(snapshot, { windowDays: -1 }), /window/);
});
test("distribution statistics match independently calculated snapshot references", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
assert.equal(incomeReference.sourceVersion, snapshot.version);
for (const reference of incomeReference.windows) {
const sample = platformIncomeSample(snapshot, { windowDays: reference.days });
assert.deepEqual(new Set(sample.points.map((p) => p.company.id)), new Set(reference.products));
const groups = groupIncome(sample.points);
assert.equal(groups.length, reference.groups.length);
for (const expected of reference.groups) {
const actual = groups.find((g) => g.category === expected.category && g.provider === expected.provider && g.model === expected.model)!;
assert.equal(actual.stats.n, expected.n);
for (const metric of ["mean", "median", "sampleDeviation", "cv", "meanWithoutLargest", "largestRemovalDrop"] as const) {
const value = expected[metric];
if (value === null) assert.equal(actual.stats[metric], null);
else assert.ok(Math.abs(actual.stats[metric]! - value) < 1e-6, metric);
}
}
}
});
test("product launch candidates preserve unresolved years and many launches per company", () => {
const snapshot = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
const batch = snapshot.candidateBatches![0];
assert.equal(batch.complete, false);
assert.equal(batch.records.length, 19);
const kilo = batch.records.filter((r) => r.companyId === "AI072");
assert.equal(kilo.length, 2, "IDE and hosted products resolve to one company");
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.filter((c) => c.id === "AI072").length, 1);
assert.ok(batch.records.some((r) => r.status === "pending-year" && !r.companyId));
assert.ok(batch.records.some((r) => r.status === "existing-outside-cohort" && r.companyId === "AI054"));
kilo[0].companyId = "missing-company";
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /research candidate/);
});
test("annual launch archives exclude older companies only with evidence and reuse existing records", () => {
const snapshot = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
const batch = snapshot.candidateBatches!.find((b) => b.id === "PH-2025-visible-1")!;
assert.equal(batch.complete, false);
assert.equal(batch.records.length, 19);
const older = batch.records.filter((r) => r.status === "outside-cohort");
assert.equal(older.length, 7);
assert.ok(older.every((r) => !r.companyId && r.evidenceIds?.length));
assert.equal(batch.records.find((r) => r.name === "Trace")?.companyId, "YC30687");
const trace = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "YC30687")!;
assert.equal(trace.profileOnly, false);
assert.equal(trace.directoryOrigin, "yc-2025-2026");
assert.equal(trace.revenueStatus, "unknown");
assert.ok(!snapshot.observations.some((o) => o.evidence === "TRACE-HOME"), "demo metrics must not become reported results");
older[0].evidenceIds = [];
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /research candidate/);
older[0].evidenceIds = ["missing-proof"];
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /research candidate/);
});
test("unreconciled directory financials remain source reviews instead of income observations", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
const review = snapshot.reviews.find((r) => r.id === "PH-R-SOURCE-QUALITY")!;
assert.equal(review.scope, "dataset");
assert.ok(review.evidenceIds.includes("PH-TANA-DR"));
assert.equal(reviewCompanyIds(snapshot, review).length, 0);
assert.ok(!snapshot.observations.some((o) => o.evidence === "PH-TANA-DR"));
assert.equal(snapshot.candidateBatches!.flatMap((b) => b.records).filter((r) => r.status === "pending-year").length, 21);
});
test("product pivots and founder histories do not become new company years or current revenue", () => {
const snapshot = seed as ResearchSnapshot;
const pivot = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "AI073")!;
assert.equal(pivot.year, null, "CRM launch is not a verified company founding year");
assert.equal(pivot.revenueStatus, "unknown");
const candidate = snapshot.candidateBatches!.flatMap((b) => b.records).find((r) => r.id === "PH26-11")!;
assert.equal(candidate.status, "existing-outside-cohort");
assert.equal(candidate.companyId, pivot.id);
assert.ok(!platformIncomeSample(snapshot, { windowDays: null }).points.some((point) => point.company.id === pivot.id));
assert.ok(!snapshot.observations.some((o) => ["PH-FUNDRAISLY-ABOUT", "LF-PIVOT", "LF-HISTORY"].includes(o.evidence)), "other ventures' ARR, users and funding must not transfer");
});
test("follow-up evidence can admit an uncertain directory candidate without rewriting its original status", () => {
const snapshot = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
const followup = snapshot.directoryRechecks!.find((row) => row.ycId === 36088)!;
const original = coverageAudit.records.find((row) => row.ycId === followup.ycId)!;
assert.equal(original.status, "ai-unclear");
assert.equal(followup.originalStatus, original.status);
assert.equal(snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === followup.companyId)?.year, 2026);
assert.equal(snapshot.candidateBatches!.flatMap((b) => b.records).find((r) => r.name === "OpenSEO")?.companyId, followup.companyId);
assert.ok(!snapshot.observations.some((o) => ["SEO-PRICE", "UP-YC", "PAZI-PRICE"].includes(o.evidence)), "pricing, other ventures' ARR and prepaid balances stay outside income observations");
followup.companyId = "missing-company";
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /directory recheck/);
});
test("Chinese discovery entries preserve unread articles and use separate primary evidence", () => {
const snapshot = structuredClone(seed) as ResearchSnapshot;
const batch = snapshot.candidateBatches!.find((b) => b.id === "JQ-2026-targeted-1")!;
assert.equal(batch.complete, false);
assert.equal(batch.records.length, 4);
assert.ok(batch.records.every((row) => row.kind === "company" && row.profileStatus === "unavailable"));
assert.equal(batch.records.filter((row) => row.status === "linked").length, 2);
assert.equal(batch.records.find((row) => row.name === "Utopai")?.status, "pending-year");
assert.ok(!snapshot.observations.some((o) => ["PS-CODE", "SG-START", "SG-APR", "SSI-HISTORY"].includes(o.evidence)), "task costs, investment, capacity and financing are not revenue");
const prism = snapshot.companies.find((c) => c.id === "AI075")!;
assert.equal(prism.team, null, "a team range or linked employees must not become exact headcount");
batch.records[0].url = null;
assert.throws(() => validateResearch(snapshot), /research candidate/);
});